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Currency Market Analysis: Insights into INR’s Performance Across Major Currencies

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April 25, 2023

New Delhi, India

Daily Currency Market Analysis

USD/INR

The last traded price of USDINR was 83.31. The trading range was between 83.36-83.25.

Analysis: The Indian Rupee (INR) ended little changed against the US Dollar (USD), possibly supported by likely intervention from the Indian central bank. Despite the stability in the Rupee, the HSBC India Manufacturing PMI remaining unchanged at 59.1 in April 2024 indicates a steady pace of manufacturing activity. The HSBC India Composite flash PMI rising to 62.2 in April suggests overall economic expansion, which could influence the Rupee’s performance in the future.

EUR/INR

The last traded price of EURINR was 89.12. The trading range was between88.24-89.96.

Analysis: The Euro (EUR) stabilized against the Indian Rupee (INR) as investors absorbed flash PMI data for the Eurozone. The stronger-than-expected output revealed by the latest survey, with the HCOB Eurozone Services PMI reaching an eleven-month high at 52.9 in April 2024, indicates robust economic activity. This stability and positive economic indicators may have contributed to the Euro’s resilience against the Rupee.

GBP/INR:

The last traded price of GBPINR was 103.82. The trading range was between 103.91-103.45.

Analysis: The British Pound (GBP) gained ground against the Indian Rupee (INR) driven by solid UK PMI data and assessments of its potential impact on the country’s monetary policy trajectory. The expansion in British business activity in April, coupled with a decrease in public sector net borrowing to £11.9 billion, suggests economic resilience and fiscal discipline. These factors likely bolstered confidence in the Pound, leading to its appreciation against the Rupee.

JPY/INR:

The last traded price of JPYINR was 53.63. The trading range was between  53.84-53.62.

Analysis: The Japanese Yen (JPY) remained relatively stable against the Indian Rupee (INR) as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) signaled a cautious approach to policy normalization. The au Jibun Bank flash Japan Services PMI and Japan Manufacturing PMI both indicated expansion in April, albeit with modest improvements. The BOJ’s indication of no rush in policy normalization reflects a measured approach, influencing the Yen’s stability against the Rupee.

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