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Gold Prices Retreats from Record Highs as Market Awaits Fed Rate Cut Decision

gold prices

August 22, 2024

New Delhi, India

Gold Prices Today

Gold prices have retreated from their record highs in Asian trade on Thursday as the recent rally in the precious metal cooled off. The market’s attention is now focused on potential U.S. interest rate cuts and rising fears of a recession, which have driven much of the recent surge in gold prices.

Gold Price Movements: After reaching record levels earlier in the week, spot gold fell 0.5% to $2,500.55 an ounce, while December gold futures declined by 0.4% to $2,547.05 an ounce as of 00:15 ET (04:15 GMT). This drop comes after spot gold peaked at $2,532.05 an ounce on Wednesday.

Rate Cut Expectations and Recession Concerns: The surge in gold prices earlier this week was largely driven by growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates in September. The minutes from the Fed’s late-July meeting indicated that most policymakers favored lower interest rates due to progress in reducing inflation. However, the market remains divided on whether the rate cut will be 25 or 50 basis points.

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Adding to these concerns, a sharp downward revision in U.S. payroll data for the year ending in March 2024 heightened fears of a potential recession. Despite these worries, some investors have taken profits, and the U.S. dollar has rebounded from recent lows, contributing to the decline in gold prices.

Key Events to Watch: Investors are now turning their attention to the upcoming speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. Powell’s comments will be closely watched for any signals on the Fed’s monetary policy direction, particularly in light of the weaker-than-expected job growth data.

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Impact on Other Precious Metals: While gold saw a decline, other precious metals experienced mixed results. Platinum futures fell 0.4% to $970.00 an ounce, and silver futures dipped 0.3% to $29.448 an ounce. These metals are also affected by expectations of Fed rate cuts, as lower rates typically reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and silver.

Copper Prices and Industrial Metals: In the industrial metals sector, copper prices faced renewed pressure due to concerns over slowing U.S. economic growth and persistent worries about a Chinese slowdown. Benchmark copper futures on the London Metal Exchange steadied at $9,262.50 a ton, while one-month copper futures fell 0.2% to $4.1930 a pound.

Market Outlook: As the market digests the latest economic data and awaits further signals from the Fed, gold remains supported by expectations of more aggressive policy easing. However, the potential for further geopolitical risks and economic uncertainty could continue to influence gold prices in the near term.

Gold prices have pulled back from record highs as investors lock in profits and the U.S. dollar recovers. With the Fed’s potential rate cuts and recession fears still in play, the market’s focus remains on upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve commentary. Keep an eye on Fed Chair Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole for further insights into the direction of gold prices.

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