Indian Rupee Faces Upside Pressure Amid Strong US Dollar, Eyes on RBI’s Outlook

Indian Rupee

January 17, 2023

New Delhi, India

Indian Rupee (INR) Continues Upside Trend Amid Strong US Dollar

The Indian Rupee (INR) is facing upward pressure against the US Dollar (USD) as the greenback extends its strength. Traders are closely monitoring key developments, including the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) perspective and upcoming economic indicators.

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das Addresses Food Inflation Concerns

At the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das emphasized that food inflation remains a top priority for the central bank. Despite global challenges, WEF President Borge Brende expressed confidence in India’s growth story, citing resilience amid geopolitical tensions and a weak investment cycle.

Global Economic Context and Future Outlook

In the broader economic context, the US NY Empire State Index for January showed a significant decline, indicating potential challenges in the US economy. Fed Governor Christopher Waller hinted at possible interest rate cuts but urged caution in making hasty decisions.

Also Read: Geopolitical Tensions Propel WTI Prices Amidst Supply Disruptions and Regional Unrest

Market Predictions and Technical Analysis

Traders are anticipating a breakout in the INR, with confidence that India’s positive economic outlook will attract foreign exchange investors. Technical analysis indicates a trading range between 141.40 and 144.70 for the USD/INR pair since September 2023. Short-term indicators, including the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest a somewhat negative sentiment.

Upcoming Events and Key Levels to Watch

Investors are eagerly awaiting US Retail Sales data and Governor Das’ speech at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2024. Resistance levels for USD/INR are identified at 83.40 and 84.00, while support levels are at 83.00, 82.80, 82.60, and 82.40.

In Summary,
The USD/INR pair faces upward pressure driven by a stronger US Dollar, with market sentiment influenced by RBI’s focus on food inflation and positive economic signals. Traders remain optimistic about a potential breakout in the Indian Rupee as India gains favor among foreign exchange investors.

Also Read: India Slashes Windfall Tax on Domestic Crude Oil to Boost Energy Sector

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