February 17, 2025
New Delhi, India
USDINR
The Indian Rupee (INR) traded lower on Monday, snapping a two-day winning streak due to sluggish domestic growth, foreign outflows, and the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) rate cuts.
Key Factors Affecting the Rupee:
Economic Slowdown:
India’s Wholesale Price Index (WPI) inflation fell to 2.31% in January from 2.37% in December, below the expected 2.50%.FII Outflows:
Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) continue their selling spree, adding pressure on the rupee.RBI’s Dovish Stance:
Recent rate cuts by the RBI have dampened the currency’s appeal.
Possible Relief for INR:
RBI’s USD Intervention:
The RBI’s strategy to sell dollars may curb excessive depreciation.Crude Oil Prices:
Lower oil prices offer support, as India is a major importer of crude.
Global Impact:
US Retail Sales fell 0.9% in January, while Industrial Production rose 0.5%, beating estimates.
US President Donald Trump recently announced that Prime Minister Modi is open to tariff talks to boost US oil imports and reduce the trade deficit.
Outlook:
Markets await India’s trade balance data and US Fed officials’ speeches for further cues, while the rupee’s trajectory will hinge on global trade developments and RBI’s intervention intensity.
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