March 10, 2024
New Delhi, India
USDINR
Rupee (INR) trades with a negative bias on Monday, weighed down by persistent foreign investor outflows, economic uncertainty, and trade tariff concerns. Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) have pulled nearly $15 billion from Indian shares this year, approaching the record $17 billion outflows of 2022, erasing $1.3 trillion in market value.
Key Market Drivers:
FPI Outflows & Market Volatility:
- Heavy selling pressure on Indian equities continues, pressuring the INR.
RBI & Government Intervention:
- RBI to infuse $21 billion in Rupee liquidity to ease lending and support growth.
- Government remains confident in RBI’s ability to control currency depreciation.
Crude Oil Impact:
- Lower oil prices offer some relief as India is a major importer.
US Data & Fed Commentary:
- Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) rose by 151K in February (below 160K expected).
- US Unemployment Rate edged up to 4.1% from 4.0%.
- Average Hourly Earnings climbed to 4.0% from 3.9%.
- Fed remains cautious about policy adjustments amid economic uncertainty.
Market Outlook:
With no major economic data from India or the US on Monday, USD/INR movement will depend on global sentiment, RBI actions, and further FPI flows.
Disclaimer:
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